Many people are making predictions about what will or won’t happen in robotics in 2025. Basically all of these people will be wrong. - Lol
Wonder if the automated robot cells of today will give way to more flexible robots of the future that can set up ad hoc lines for more customized products. Maybe something like that will happen, but like anything in tech, it will probably take longer than predicted (if anyone is predicting it, ha).
Manufacturing industry is conservative due to low margins. I think people are working on it (maybe Standard?? https://standardbots.com/) but my guess is this won't meaningfully happen next year
With much robotics stuff, i dont think the core issues are technology, the biggest issues are policy/culture. and those are much more intractable than tech
I want to do a longer post on humanoids, like I did for self-driving cars, because there's so much there.
I think they fit nicely into the "general-purpose robots in the real world" trend though: it's exciting that they're aggressively deploying humanoids on a scale no one else is.
I think the make-or-break for a lot of these things is going to be if they can build reusable, vertically integrated software (using AI/ML) that doesn't require a ton of software engineering to deploy in new sites, and is fairly robust.
That applies to all the humanoids companies, not just them.
Another thing worth reading is Rodney Brooks's take: https://rodneybrooks.com/predictions-scorecard-2025-january-01/
Many people are making predictions about what will or won’t happen in robotics in 2025. Basically all of these people will be wrong. - Lol
Wonder if the automated robot cells of today will give way to more flexible robots of the future that can set up ad hoc lines for more customized products. Maybe something like that will happen, but like anything in tech, it will probably take longer than predicted (if anyone is predicting it, ha).
Manufacturing industry is conservative due to low margins. I think people are working on it (maybe Standard?? https://standardbots.com/) but my guess is this won't meaningfully happen next year
With much robotics stuff, i dont think the core issues are technology, the biggest issues are policy/culture. and those are much more intractable than tech
Great overview. 👍
Thanks!
No love for Agility Robotics except a photo. How do you assess their humanoid?
I want to do a longer post on humanoids, like I did for self-driving cars, because there's so much there.
I think they fit nicely into the "general-purpose robots in the real world" trend though: it's exciting that they're aggressively deploying humanoids on a scale no one else is.
I think the make-or-break for a lot of these things is going to be if they can build reusable, vertically integrated software (using AI/ML) that doesn't require a ton of software engineering to deploy in new sites, and is fairly robust.
That applies to all the humanoids companies, not just them.